Re: What after Year2000

[Dave Mahadevan <mahadevan@xxxxxxxx>]

DAsmussen@aol.com wrote:

> 
> Much has been written about Y2K in the USA, along with ancillaries regarding
> Europe at large as Y2K conflicts with the Eurodollar's introduction.  I tend
> to discount the Eurodollar impact, as these countries have been dealing
> electronically with mixed currencies for decades.  What DOES concern me is
> the impact of Y2K in the former Soviet republics.  The latter cannot pay
> pensions and government salaries NOW, how in the world are they going to put
> forth a substantive Y2K effort?  What will happen when this effort fails?
>  Most of "the best and brightest" in the computer industry of the former
> Soviet Bloc have already moved to more lucrative jobs abroad.
> 
> Will their weapons remain stable?  Are their encryption codes for military
> use date-based?  Can their already fragile economies survive Y2K?  The West
> is barely avoiding conflict (can you say, "Bosnia"?) in a wholly unstable
> Eastern economy.  The latter were old "cold war" analogies (and I shudder to
> realize that there are actually people that would take them seriously as a
> whole), but an economy totally collapsed by Y2K issues would be fertile
> ground for an insane nationalist to take power.  Pure conjecture and somewhat
> paranoic, but food for thought.  Germany wasn't doing so well when Hitler
> took power...
> 
> Any knowlegeable insight (Dave?) would be appreciated.

Russians will be a powerhouse in the future.  Capitalism has unleashed
their potential and they are very very good in dealing with problems
with available resources.  I am sure Dave kahn will have a lot of
insight into the Russian methods of coping with problems.

What is bothersome with the Y2K problem is the handling of it is very
uneven across countries and even across businesses in the same country. 
This will, of course, create disruptions in commerce.  Somthing like out
of 100 drivers in the road, 2 are totally erratic and this cause the
other 98 to slow down scenario.  

-- 
Thank You.

Regards

Dave Mahadevan.. mailto:mahadevan@fuse.net
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