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Why do you think the machine is dying?
My first reaction to your question was to ask myself, who said the machine
was dying? I had just read Steve Pitcher's article at MC Press Online about
the ongoing iBelieve road show. I'm a believer in the platform - with them.
Then it occurred to me that you were asserting that the machine is dying
because developers eschew ILE and other tools available which would improve
their applications.
I think we should distinguish between "the machine" and "the OS". TREFIS
forecasts growth for Power systems between now and 2020. And their forecast
only considers server shipments from IBM.
TREFIS doesn't take into account the number of Power servers which will
ship from OpenPower OEM's which have indicated plans to produce Power
servers. Tyan just began shipping a Power server last month for under $3K,
targeting Linux workloads.
The number of server shipments has shrunk in recent years, significantly
due to server consolidation, as CPW has increased, and partitions become
more common.
Regarding "IBM i" deployments, I think we need to distinguish between
"dying" and "attrition". But I agree that application modernization is a
big key to reversing that.
Nathan.
midrange.com
