Re: Hardware (was: System i InnovationAward--CommunitySupportcategory)

["Steve Landess" <sjl_abc@xxxxxxxxxxx>]

> John Earl wrote:
> I think I know your age Joe <g>, Do you think that CPF, er... I5/OS will
> still be in operation in 2040?

I do...

But given current trends, all programming-related jobs will have gone to 
India or China (or other cheap labor countries) long before we reach 2040 - 
so it doesn't matter.

IBM had few workers in India in the year 2000 - today they have over 50,000, 
expected to top 100,000 by 2010.
http://www.itnews.com.au/newsstory.aspx?CIaNID=45255
http://www.ddj.com/dept/global/196601340

By the year 2040, Joe & I will probably be greeters at Wal-Mart.

Steve


----- Original Message ----- 
From: "John Earl" <john.earl@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
To: "Midrange Systems Technical Discussion" <midrange-l@xxxxxxxxxxxx>
Sent: Thursday, May 03, 2007 12:06 PM
Subject: RE: Hardware (was: System i 
InnovationAward--CommunitySupportcategory)


> > I would like to retire on this OS, regardless of its name.
>
> Sorry Boomer <g>.  I was just listening to a statistician talk about
> Baby Boomer's and retirement.  Here are a couple of highlights....
>
> Traditionally, 2% of the nation's population was over 65 years old.
> That has changed radically over the last century so that now 13% of the
> population is over 65 years.
>
> A girl born in 2000 has a 50% chance of living to 100 years.  This is
> unprecedented in human history.
>
> If you want to know what you expected lifespan is, do the following
> math...
>
> If you are a woman, take the age at death of the oldest of either of
> your grandmothers or your mother, and add 13 years.  You have a 70%
> chance of living to that age.
>
> If you are a man, take the age at death of the oldest of either of your
> grandfathers or your father, and add 11 years.  You have a 70% chance of
> living to that age.
>
> My Dad lived to almost 83, which means I have a 70% chance of living 94
> years.  Retirement?  Demographers don't see that most of us are going to
> retire and play golf for 25-30 years, odds are you'll still be working
> at something well into your 80's.
>
> I think I know your age Joe <g>, Do you think that CPF, er... I5/OS will
> still be in operation in 2040?
>
> jte
>
>
>
> --
> John Earl, VP and Chief Technology Officer
> PowerTech:   253-872-7788
> Direct:          253-479-1408
> Mobile:          206-669-3336
> John.Earl@xxxxxxxxxxxxx
>
>
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