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Hi Paul, This sentence from your consult400 email posting (below copied) is a conclusion that is based on economic realities. "--Shifting the economy from one that is manufacturing based to one that is services based is foolhardy.--" ..and yes, it has already happened. ..and it says a lot about the future of the world. First, people have to eat. Then, they have to get dressed. For missionaries like Paul, that's good enough: "With food an clothing let us therewith be content" But for everybody else, then they need shelter, and that means residential construction. People need these things to live, even to work at anything. After 1.food, 2.clothing and 3.shelter, the next thing necessary is 4.manufacturing of actual hard goods, *_before_* services. Clothes fit here too, but it's everything else. Phones, pipes, cable, packages and containers for food, vehicles to move things, prepared construction materials like steel rods and sheets and concrete mix, air conditioning systems, compressors, the rest. Used to be in the U.S. services were self-provided, especially home services. In fact, a general said once that one of the obvious reasons that China is making an export industry of arms is to develop that capacity at home against the possibility at some point. That plus a lot of the profits of course. A point ignored in all the press about this also is that there are a lot of Chinese export companies that are owned by the Chinese Army, the PLA. Of course strategic capacity development is not just military, it's also economic. Witness Clinton's strident repetitive mantra of the world's "interdependence". Bush has not used this now certainly unpopular phrase much (he still has used it), and Hillary has hidden it under the rug, but the accelerated dominance of the reality of the word has been cultivated under both of these recent presidential administrations. Makes me wonder why people think that anybody at the highest levels of these parties has the interests of their constituents in mind. Not that they will always choose what's best anyway. --Alan ---- On 1/18/06, pnelson@xxxxxxxxxx <pnelson@xxxxxxxxxx> wrote: > > If our factories are shuttered, and the blue-collar folks are out of work, > what need will there be for on-shore tech services? I fear that we are > creating an entire generation of people who will never have a meaningful > job in their life. We are approaching the time where the major line of > business in areas that formerly provided manufacturing jobs is the > gang-related drug trade. Look at the south side of Chicago, Newark, > Philly, or the Bronx. > > Shifting the economy from one that is manufacturing based to one that is > services based is foolhardy. > -- > > Paul Nelson > Arbor Solutions, Inc. > 708-670-6978 Cell > pnelson@xxxxxxxxxx
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