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Write Once, Run Anywhere...Slowly


On Sat, Mar 21, 2009 at 10:18 PM, Nathan Andelin <nandelin@xxxxxxxxx> wrote:


From: Hans Boldt
The real challenge for IBM will to maintain its street cred in the
open source community.

Without competition from SUN, I don't see IBM trying very hard to appeal to
the open source community. It seems that IBM's only real competitor in the
"managed code" space (as Mr. Richter likes to call platforms like Java and
.Net), would be Microsoft. I wouldn't hold my breath waiting for Microsoft
to release a F/OSS version of .Net. So my prediction would be that Java and
related technology would gradually become proprietary.

What used to be "write once, run anywhere", becomes "write once, runs best
under Power", then later the fields further polarize to .Net on Intel vs.
Java on Power. At that point, IBM would probably give Java a new name. IBM
is good at new names for legacy products ;-).

Colleges and universities and other open source communities would gravitate
to Python or Ruby on Rails.

This is all speculation, of course. I still have a hard time seeing SUN
sellout to "the MAN". Well, I don't see the majority of people at SUN doing
that. The suits at the top may be another story.

Nathan.




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