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From: Hans Boldt
The real challenge for IBM will to maintain its street cred in the
open source community.
Without competition from SUN, I don't see IBM trying very hard to appeal to the open source community. It seems that IBM's only real competitor in the "managed code" space (as Mr. Richter likes to call platforms like Java and .Net), would be Microsoft. I wouldn't hold my breath waiting for Microsoft to release a F/OSS version of .Net. So my prediction would be that Java and related technology would gradually become proprietary.
What used to be "write once, run anywhere", becomes "write once, runs best under Power", then later the fields further polarize to .Net on Intel vs. Java on Power. At that point, IBM would probably give Java a new name. IBM is good at new names for legacy products ;-).
Colleges and universities and other open source communities would gravitate to Python or Ruby on Rails.
This is all speculation, of course. I still have a hard time seeing SUN sellout to "the MAN". Well, I don't see the majority of people at SUN doing that. The suits at the top may be another story.
Nathan.
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