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Jon,

With our JAM conference next November here in DC
(http://www.wash-midrange.org/cgi-bin/jam.pl ) we know that no matter what
we do, well over 50% of our reg's will come in the last 2 weeks. Been that
way ever since I started with this group over 10 years ago...nature of the
beastie....

What was interesting with the COMMON data, was that it was almost a perfect
time series. You could graph it and see a really nice time series
pattern...problem was, the trends weren't positive...kinda like Al pointed
out in the AS/400 market...

Don in DC

-----Original Message-----
From: midrange-l-bounces@xxxxxxxxxxxx
[mailto:midrange-l-bounces@xxxxxxxxxxxx] On Behalf Of Jon Paris
Sent: Saturday, September 22, 2007 10:25 PM
To: midrange-l@xxxxxxxxxxxx
Subject: RE: COMMON Attendance (was: COMMON Focus was: SQL Finding & Using)

"... especially trends before conference as people used to use those numbers
to figure out how much stuff to bring for conference in terms of expo
etc..."

I can tell you from my own experience Don that the curve has moved
significantly to the right (i.e. closer to the event). Every time I run an
event the %age that register well in advance shrinks and those that register
in the last four weeks rises. It makes it a very risky business as you end
up well past your cancellation option point (in contract terms) before you
get anywhere near the number you need to be sure it will cover itself. This
time around we've had so many "last minute" bookings that we've had to place
extra orders for the attendee supplies etc. because we were past the
cut-off.


Jon Paris
Partner400

www.Partner400.com



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